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Discussion The Cost of Kit vs Scratch Build: A Real Divide or Just Perspective?

Alright, Dave, I managed to find a sheet of basswood for $1.99 — not bad at all. But what about shipping? That could easily add another $5 to $7.\

no shipping the sheets can be found local in hobby Lobby, home depot and any craft store

And how do I know one sheet is enough? Maybe I’ll need two or even three. So, now what?

it does not take a seasoned shipwright to figure out 2 sheets is more than enough


Next step would be getting plans, right? One of the first things I came across was The Dory Book — that’s about $30 for the paperback. So now I’ve got wood and plans, but I’m already over the $33 that Model Shipways charges for the full kit, which includes everything plus instructions and pre-cut parts.

plans are free on line or at your local library
 
But the main question - whether I want to go this route
Personally is scratch building for me more fun. My brains need stimuli to go on and not get bored. Building a kit is for me, and I speak for me, not exiting enough. I need to stand for certain challenges that I can't find in modern building kits. The very old ones, maybe sometimes yes. But those laser kits I pass. I like to make every piece by myself or what use what I have salvaged in time. On the other hand, a kit would in my case be better because of the arteritis in my hands. So maybe in the future.......... Who knows. But for now I like to cut tables, turn yarn into rope, try to make ornaments, sail and sometimes making tools to use. That's fun too.
 
Next step would be getting plans, right? One of the first things I came across was The Dory Book — that’s about $30 for the paperback. So now I’ve got wood and plans, but I’m already over the $33 that Model Shipways charges for the full kit, which includes everything plus instructions and pre-cut parts.

Model Shipways' Lowell Dory model plans and instructions are provided free online in a 28-page full-color PDF. The instruction book was written by David Anscherl and, as one would expect, is excellent. A complete materials list of sized wood stock available at any craft store, etc., and a complete list of recommended tools are included in the instruction book.
See: https://modelexpo-online.com/assets/images/Dory instructions final.pdf

Wood stock included in the kit:

3 sheets ⅛" basswood 4" x 12"
1 sheet 3⁄32" basswood 3" x 6"
1 sheet 1⁄16" basswood 4" x 12"
1 sheet 3⁄64" basswood 4" x 12"
2 sheets 1⁄32" basswood 4" x 12"
2 12" lengths of 1⁄16" square basswood
1 12" length of 3⁄64" x ⅛" strip basswood

Estimated cost: $30.00 retail.

The kit's included "tools," are six small spring clamps (equivalent binder clips from the stationery store would cost next to nothing,) an X-Acto knife and eight blades, a tweezer, three low-quality paint brushes, two bottles of paint, a bottle of CA adhesive and two 4"x4" pieces of sandpaper. The total cost of the "tool kit" can't be more than $25 retail, if that.

The Lowell Dory kit's MSRP is $109.99, including "tools and paint." (Currently $69.99 on sale: https://modelexpo-online.com/mydory) See how easy it is for a scratch builder to save a kit builder $30, even on a low-cost kit? ROTF

I will concede, however, that a necessary additional "substantial" expense of scratch building for the beginning scratch builder is always the investment in additional tools. A scratch builder who wanted to build the identical dory kit would have to spend $9.00 on a coping saw for cutting the parts from the basswood sheet stock. (See: https://www.amazon.com/IRWIN-Tools-ProTouch-Coping-2014400/dp/B000B3AR04/ref=sr_1_6?adgrpid=1339205732783416&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.Mg65yqVKUHYd8-1agI_kkWW4RcCDqAsqdEylkU3zz4gPqiMKzzn06EVFzUZAuX6nMvlwTJnpXBQPXWnKVFbPT6SoUEDoSokmQXai0re3AAKPkkdnvVwOJv_BiED9FRFFtz5ByBDidnI72y5G9YtBTwF02kkpiPqHDatB3xLCOtYIjOxidXn_6jcq7Cm8WsRCq81_5UX5wNT3xJND3sbPe_TX-Ve5yRAdkuo01TwZBJ-sF2G7S086horSKnwrUsxo6ipxly9ZEb136b2kaMC1nCj0TZo5s7A5vgHV7yFk24A.xiUdhZX-uTrE10QIlYYZTRl3T_VtgivaHzSGkk1H60g&dib_tag=se&hvadid=83700572856608&hvbmt=be&hvdev=c&hvlocphy=88716&hvnetw=o&hvqmt=e&hvtargid=kwd-83700715752651:loc-190&hydadcr=24665_13514097&keywords=coping+saw&mcid=ef6a12e4171d3958852f50955299f10f&msclkid=42dcc8c7b89c101cf0e7a0859efa4fb3&qid=1749165715&sr=8-6) In my opinion, the nine bucks for the coping saw is well worth not having to deal with the mess of the laser cutting char!

Now, if we compare dollars and cents, which was the original premise of your discussion parameters in your first post, in this case of a very inexpensive kit, it looks close to six of one and a half dozen of the other if one can buy the kit on sale for $69.99 (disregarding shipping costs,) but they won't have a coping saw to use on their next build.

Granted, too, that the scratch builder will have to loft patterns for the bottom and planking, but that is easily done using the patterns for the frames in the instructions and basic lofting skills, experience which will stand them in good stead if they are to ever progress to building subsequent scratch building challenges.

I'm not making any recommendations here. All I'm doing is offering facts for consideration. At the end of the day, you pays yer money and you takes yer chances.
 
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Model Shipways' Lowell Dory model plans and instructions are provided free online in a 28-page full-color PDF. The instruction book was written by David Anscherl and, as one would expect, is excellent. A complete materials list of sized wood stock available at any craft store, etc., and a complete list of recommended tools are included in the instruction book.

See: https://modelexpo-online.com/assets/images/Dory instructions final.pdf

See how easy it is for a scratch builder to save a kit builders $30? ROTF

And many if not most modellkers buy the kit because not interested in scratvchuilding,and no headaches,no stess and elitism lol
 
I see scratch building not as an alternative to kit building but as an evolution. I started kit building then moved on to what I call a semi-scratch build(Constitution). I don't think I will ever go full scratch because of the lack of suppliers and the cost of shipping here in the Maritimes.

Kit bashing seems to be the way to go for me.
 
... sort of like brewing your own beer or making your own wine. Why go 'that' route when you could just go to the store and buy it already made... "ick-up?"
 
And many if not most modellkers buy the kit because not interested in scratvchuilding,and no headaches,no stess and elitism lol
"Different strokes for different folks," of course. And other collectors simply buy completed ship models and avoid all the inconveniences of building them entirely! :D

What I'll probably never understand, though, is why some who elect to build model kits spend so much effort justifying why they only build kits and always seem to conclude by accusing scratch builders of being "elitist." I don't think I've ever had occasion to witness a scratch builder overtly justifying that accusation. Does this phenomenon occur in other hobbies? Do women who design and sew their own clothes encounter the same from women who buy patterns to sew theirs? In my experience, people might say, "Nice dress!" if that were so, but nobody ever follows up by asking, "Did you sew it yourself?" unless they are making a backhanded compliment!

Many enthusiastic scratch builders, understandably reflecting their own experiences, are quick to encourage kit builders to try their hand at scratch building. People often encourage others to follow their example when they think their way of doing it is better than the way the person they're encouraging has been doing it. Whether such encouragement is welcome or not is in the eye of the beholder, but even when unwelcome, it doesn't rise to the level of "elitism." Elitism is an attitude of an individual, not an attribute of a thing. A ship model is a ship model is a ship model. There is no such thing as an "elite" ship model. There can only be "elite" people. When we compare two ship models as one would in a "blind tasting" of fine wines, it matters not whether they were scratch built or kit models. Just as winemakers certainly may pose as "elitist," (and indeed they often do,) at the end of the day, their wines must stand on their own merits, and I think the same is true of ship models.
 
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A bit late to the conversation but I originally wanted to stay silent on the subject as I have no interest in kits...

In my opinion the cost has very little to do with the choice modelers make; especially within the active membership of this site.
At first view, this seems to be a "first world" dilemma, brought into play by the standard of living, disposable income, spare time, ect ... which inspire individuals to take on hobbies.
Kits have democratized model building. People have a multitude of options: the dedicated builder may choose to work from kits and the person that really is dedicated will choose building from scratch. I know, I will likely get in trouble for asserting different degrees of dedication but I truly believe in that statement.

Some places on earth have very limited access to kits and the standard of living is such that hobbies like model ship building may certainly not be at the top of the list . The average person here may say "well, anyone can order online". While this is mostly true, average people who do not live in the first world may find the cost of kits to be prohibitive; so yes in this case, the cost is a factor and only the most dedicated will find a way to build something.



And many if not most modellkers buy the kit because not interested in scratvchuilding,and no headaches,no stess and elitism lol

And now, I do believe the quoted reply above is misplaced, especially coming from an SOS Administrator who is supposed to project a certain image of the forum, an image of unity and neutrality, not accentuate a self made division within the membership. This is actually a reoccurring attitude ..... and there is a history of it happening.
According to this statement, the scratch builder should just shut-up and disappear.

Respectfully.
G.
 
A bit late to the conversation but I originally wanted to stay silent on the subject as I have no interest in kits...

In my opinion the cost has very little to do with the choice modelers make; especially within the active membership of this site.
At first view, this seems to be a "first world" dilemma, brought into play by the standard of living, disposable income, spare time, ect ... which inspire individuals to take on hobbies.
Kits have democratized model building. People have a multitude of options: the dedicated builder may choose to work from kits and the person that really is dedicated will choose building from scratch. I know, I will likely get in trouble for asserting different degrees of dedication but I truly believe in that statement.

Some places on earth have very limited access to kits and the standard of living is such that hobbies like model ship building may certainly not be at the top of the list . The average person here may say "well, anyone can order online". While this is mostly true, average people who do not live in the first world may find the cost of kits to be prohibitive; so yes in this case, the cost is a factor and only the most dedicated will find a way to build something.





And now, I do believe the quoted reply above is misplaced, especially coming from an SOS Administrator who is supposed to project a certain image of the forum, an image of unity and neutrality, not accentuate a self made division within the membership. This is actually a reoccurring attitude ..... and there is a history of it happening.
According to this statement, the scratch builder should just shut-up and disappear.

Respectfully.
G.

I am a scratch builder too lol.According to your post you do not understand wat I was saying.
 
And now, I do believe the quoted reply above is misplaced, especially coming from an SOS Administrator who is supposed to project a certain image of the forum, an image of unity and neutrality, not accentuate a self made division within the membership. This is actually a reoccurring attitude ..... and there is a history of it happening.
According to this statement, the scratch builder should just shut-up and disappear.
Hi Gilles,

I had earlier made the decision to step away from this particular discussion, as I felt it had run its course. However, I feel the need to briefly step back in—not to reopen debates, but to speak up in defense of the Administrator who was referenced.

I believe the comment about “no headaches, no stress, and elitism lol” was meant in a casual, even humorous tone, not as a dismissal of scratch builders or their contributions to the hobby. Knowing the individual, I’m confident that there was no intent to belittle anyone or promote division. In fact, it’s often those same admins who go out of their way to support and highlight a wide range of builds, from beginner kits to advanced scratch projects.
I understand how, in written form, tone can be misread or taken more sharply than intended. But implying that the comment promotes silencing scratch builders feels like a serious misinterpretation. I think we all benefit by assuming good intent, especially in a community built on shared passion.
At the end of the day, we all care deeply about ship modeling, regardless of how we practice it. Kit builders, scratch builders, and everyone in between bring value to this space. Let’s continue to support one another and give each other the benefit of the doubt.

Back to the sidelines I go, but I couldn’t stay silent when someone who has long supported this community was, in my view, unfairly called out.
 
OK..my 2 cents...I am finishing my scratch built a OKESA... I followed Okesabuilder's log on NRG..for two years, studying his images on my computer. I ordered a reprint of the Davis book , I think, it's in FL presently, but it was missing the fols out plans.. I scaled everything from an image of her lifeboat next to a 6 inch ruler. I milled mahogany from a tree in FL, ebony from a guitar neck and a basswood tree I cut.. I made my own winches from watch parts and brass sheet and .030 piano wire for railings from Hobby Lobby.. I bought all of the brass stanchions . bollards, davits and funnels and brass I couldn't turn from Ages of Sail..great company. Along with other bits , my fittings bill is well over $600.00 , so depending on the model, scratchbuilding can be more than a good kit and I mill all of my own wood. I all boils down to the challenge and the desire to scratch.. lots of head scratching when doing my build, but the end is near.. The challenge was well worth my time and money. My 10 yr old granddaughter built her first two masted sailboat for nothing, with a little help from grandpa, She now knows how to make a symmetrical hull with 1/4 inch graph paper.. all good.
 
Jim, you seem to know the topics that stimulate people's juices. ROTF Which, by the way, I always enjoy reading. SoS, like society, is diverse, and as expected, so are the opinions. This one kind of stumped me. At first, I thought I knew what my opinion and answer would be, then before I could type "Jim", I realized I needed to get a cup of coffee and think about it a little.

I'll keep this concise, which is a challenge for me. If this were a survey, I would ask some more pointed questions, all related to the builder and their practices when building their ship, kit, or scratch, only to satisfy my own curiosity.

Some people are happy with "inserting 'Tab A' into 'Slot B'. They are not concerned about historical accuracy, or whether some kit parts are too large a scale. While they may be forced to research because the question prevents them from continuing in comfort. It is most likely in the form of an inquiry here on the forums, as opposed to nautical/naval reference, which others enjoy researching and learning. And some future scratch builders may decide to scratch build kit elements they have an issue with, for whatever reason, scale, poor construction, or just wrong.

Scratch building presents a more ambiguous venture, regardless of how well-written the plans and a monograph are. The problem-solving required is different. This is the area that keeps my juices flowing, yes, it's frustrating sometimes, but when solutions are found, it's more rewarding for me.

Giving it thought, it's more about the problem solving for me than building a model ship. I just chose this hobby because I am fascinated by history and ships of sail. Therefore, I get to choose the types of problems I want/need to solve, if that makes any sense. The achievement of finishing a model is only the icing on the cake for me. And in some sort of twisted way, the harder the challenge for me, the greater the feeling of accomplishment is, again, for me.

Also, I'm with Stephan here as well. I do have some ADD somewhere in me. While building model ships involves some steps that are dependent on others, you have to build the hull, frames, or bulkheads before you can plank it. I feel that scratch building affords more freedom to put one task I'm bored with to perform another, to construct some element that will be needed later.

So for me, sometimes the differences reside as much in the builder's personality, needs, and desires as it is in the method of building the model. This is only my opinion, and I'm not sure there is any real definitive answer.

I think I decided to scratch build when I realized, building my last kit, I was going to end up scratch building 50% of the elements of the kit. ROTF

Anyway, just my 2 cents.
 
Scratch build best way to go,for me that is.Buying a Kit was much too
expensive,even when it was on sale. Living in Canada I was subject
to high shipping costs,exchange on the American dollar, custom
charges,which all added up to more than the Kit cost.
The Kit required a lot of adjustments, parts too small and inadequate
for the build, part shortages which required my having to make
them and many other faults. The Kit I bought, advertised as one
of the better American made Kits ,makes me wonder , as I have
been scratch building for years one cannot teach an old dog new
tricks so I will be back to scratch building in the near future.
Then all mistakes, faults et cetera are mine , I take the blame,
it is my creation and if I enjoyed the time spent building the
model , that's a reward in itself.
Every model builder has his or her own skill ability , do your best,
Kit or Scratch , it's your choice and always remember it is a
Hobby for most of us and should be just that.
 
Ken,

Well said!

I never thought twice about building and equipping a workshop. For me it’s a necessity. If I was not building ship models I’d be building something else.

Roger
 
I can share what sort of expenses I have to deal with when scratchbuilding my models. For Royal William, the purchasing was spread over 4 years, a little bit here, a little bit there, something this month, something next month, so it didn't feel like spending really a lot, and it would be difficult to calculate the total materials cost now, although I keep the records of all my expenses.
For Saint Philippe on the contrary, I purchased everything (or almost eveything) right away, in one shot. I calculated the total amount of everything that I will need for this build. To remind, so this is a scratch build of french three-decker Saint Philippe 1693 in 1:48 scale. So here we go:

wood (pear, hornbeam, boxwood) 3930 CAD (1177 stips and 161 sheets)
plywood 300 CAD
other wood (cherry (for stand), pine, birch (to fill space between frames etc) 510 CAD
casting alloy 630 CAD
casting silicone 175 CAD
brass wire and sheets for photoetch 150 CAD
ferric chloride 60 CAD
resin for 3d printing 100 CAD
rigging blocks and deadeyes 890 CAD
nails, treenails, deadeyes, hooks, sheaves, parrel beads, thimbles etc 285 CAD
sandpaper in different forms, including for power tool 150 CAD
oil 25 CAD
glue 35 CAD
blackening liquid 60 CAD

total: 7300 CAD (5330 USD approx). Still missing wood for ship decorations, plus a pretty big amount of money for the person who will make 3d models of the decorations for me.

That's the cost of serious scratch building and it's not a limit....
Yes, you can do your own rigging parts instead of buying and this will save you some 1000 CAD. If you have right tools, you can also cut the wood to size yourself, this will also reduce cost. I do not have neither big circular saw, nor bandsaw, nor thickness planer, so I order strips and sheets per dimensions.
 
To remind, this is a scratch build of French three-decker Saint Philippe 1693 in 1:48 scale. ... That's the cost of serious scratch building and it's not a limit....

You can get one already built for only $2,080 USD. I think the lady is an upgrade, though. ROTF

1749334117398.png

Obviously, you are way ahead of the average scratch builder! I sure wouldn't expect any but the most experienced very serious scratch builders to tackle your project. All the "gingerbread" on those 17th Century "showboats" is a real killer, but it's what makes them so special. When you're done, your model will put the schlock example pictured above to shame. I'm sure yours will be a masterpiece!

I'm sure you have good reasons for not having a full-size table saw, band saw, or thickness planer (or sander,) but in terms of the economics of scratch building, and for the benefit of those who would contemplate "big league" scratch building, I would expect one could find all of those stationary power tools in decent shape for at least what they could save a builder over specially ordered milled specialty woods like those on your materials list. It might take some time watching the local want ads, but there are good examples of those common machines on the used market if one shops around. It was a few years ago, but I was able to purchase the Byrnes "trifecta," the table saw, sander, and thickness sander, in "like new" condition for $600 USD from a modeler who was "throwing in the towel." Going back a bit further, my 5 HP Delta Unisaw with an aftermarket fence upgrade and extended table with a router drop-in cost me $700 USD used. My Delta 14" bandsaw and a full-size Ryobi drill press cost me nothing because the guy just wanted them out of his garage. My 14" Delta thickness planer cost me $400 USD used. All my "old 'arn" "heavy artillery" was acquired during my years when I was also working on full-size wooden yachts and certainly would be overkill for one who was only intending to do smaller scale woodworking.

Decent "contractors' model" table saws can easily be found today for $200 USD or less in the online "garage sales." Used 12" "Lunch box" thickness planers are in the same price range. Used "tabletop" 12" bandsaws are a dime a dozen. As some have previously explained in this thread on the economics of scratch building, acquiring used tools opportunistically over time can equip an enviable workshop for much less than might expect at first glance. Additionally, good tools hold their value over time and can always be sold when one is done with them. (Or at least that's what I keep telling my wife! :D )
 
Dave Stevens and wife went to a rummage sale today. He has photos of a $30 or best offer table saw (no he didn’t buy it.) The saw appears to be built like a tank and could be tuned up to be entirely serviceable for milling model ship lumber. There’s probably many more of these lurking in basements.

Roger
 
Falconet's Leudo Venexiano appears to produce an excellent model and many have sung Falconet's praises, but the kit you've cited as an example is somewhat "the exception that proves the rule."

There's no mistaking that $160 for this model in pearwood is a real bargain in my book. There are many bargains to be had on ship model kits and if eBay and the various forums' "for sale" sections are any indication, "Only a fool would pay retail." Obviously, anybody who is interested in building a ship model is certainly no fool, so if one is so inclined, the amazingly high MSRPs of many models should be taken with a grain of salt and "shopping around" is in order.

Unfortunately, Falconet is a Russian company, and the present state of international affairs seriously limits the availability of their products and parts replacement availability in North America. While there appear to be some Falconet products "in the stream of commerce," presumably having been imported by U.S. and Canadian retailers prior to the present trade restrictions, it would appear that for those of us on the other side of the political divide, I'd consider Falconet "out of business" for the duration, for our purposes at least. (And North American retailers may be selling Falconet's kits at "clearance" prices to get rid of them before they become more difficult to market here.) Notably also, with overseas suppliers which are still doing business internationally, sourcing missing or broken kit parts will often involve exorbitant (IMHO) shipping costs and waits of weeks to for orders to arrive.

Falconet's product line contains a good representation of smaller vessels which are excellent subjects for modeling and that keeps the cost of those kits "accessible," in theory at least, given they will become increasingly difficult for non-Eastern Block modelers to source. Parenthetically, these type of craft (which I expect Howard I. Chapelle would deem "models which should be built,") are particularly suited to scratch building because they don't require a lot of fine metalwork and carving. On the other hand, Falconet offers other kits that are surprisingly expensive, such as a simple two-masted schooner with a list price of $1,250 at present exchange rates, to which, presumably, will be added significant shipping charges and, likely high tariff taxes, which will bring us back to the reality of initial kit expense. To greater or lesser degrees, depending upon the day of the week, or so it seems, the present instability of American tariff taxes must be expected to substantially increase the cost of any imported ship model kit and particularly those produced in China.

From what I understand, Falconet does not provide translations for their Russian language instructions, so that may be a consideration for those who must parse the meanings of various illustrations in their instructions in order to build the kit. To that extent, the novice builder will find himself doing "research" no differently in those respects than the scratch modeler! (And be a better modeler for it if they survive the frustration.) Also, Falconet's product line focuses on subjects of which their primary customer base would be expected to have an interest and, conversely, in which a North American customer base would be less interested. This perhaps touches on the issue of "availability" in a different way than previously discussed: the kit modeler's choices of subject matter are limited to what the applicable market demands, too often "over and over again," or, as Howard I. Chapelle called them, "models that should not be built." Unlike indisputable authorities such as Chapelle and Hahn, my opinion has no such weight, but, IMHO, I find your Leudo Venexiano far more interesting than another Victory or Constitution. The former offers new information that adds to my store of knowledge about watercraft, while the latter primarily only offer an expression of the kit builder's technical ability.

I do have to stress that there is nothing wrong at all with building kits. If that "floats your boat" and isn't broke, don't fix it. Just keep kit building and be happy. There are very few scratch builders who did not begin their ship modeling "careers" by building a kit. After finishing a kit or three, they moved on for any number of reasons. Some decided the cost of a kit was more than they needed to pay to build their next model. Some wanted to create a unique model, while others found that they had no choice but to scratch build their next model because nobody offered a kit of it. And, indeed, some found buying their next kit an attractive option. Six of one and half dozen of the other, as they say.

Now, in the spirit of full disclosure, I must say that there is an important difference between scratch building and kit building which in my experience following ship modeling forums online for as long as there's been an internet is very apparent but rarely fully discussed without walking on eggs for fear of raising hackles. A good ship model kit should enable a person who has a minimal familiarity with basic tools but knows little or nothing about vessels or their construction and operation, to build a credible model of one. The scratch build requires that the builder be fully familiar with the construction and operation of the prototype vessel they are building, together with all the knowledge of how to engineer a credible model of their subject. Scratch building requires a working knowledge of a lot of basic skills, including, but not limited to, academic researching, all the manual arts which are involved in the build (woodworking, metalworking, finishing, rigging mechanics, etc., etc.,) working vocabularies of drafting and lofting (a "language" in itself,) and nautical nomenclature (which is extensive and infinitely more so in the case of periods centuries ago,) and a library of reference books (and online access) which provide the information necessary to complete all the tasks required. Scratch building demands a "lifestyle commitment" to the subject which, in its more developed stages, requires the cumulative acquisition of knowledge driven by a consuming interest spanning decades. On the other hand, a good ship model kit, for a price, (hopefully) provides the knowledge to build that one kit alone. (This is why, in the days before kits were made, the stereotypical ship model builder was a mariner who'd "swallowed the anchor" and modeled ships in their retirement.)

There need be no qualitative comparisons between the two alternative approaches, nor, certainly, between their respective adherents. Their models should speak for themselves and in doing so, their most important audience is always their own builders.

In conclusion, I will offer a caution to kit builders which, if kept in mind, may save them grief in times to come. From a economic standpoint, despite, if not on account of, new technologies such as 3D printing and CNC laser cutting, and the price of materials and the marked increase in international freight costs, ship model kits appear to be a product which is even now only holding on by a thread. I am afraid making them is becoming a business model that just doesn't "pencil out." Just as we've seen the classic "neighborhood hobby shop" become critically endangered, if not yet extinct, so also has their reason for existence constricted, online retailing notwithstanding. We've become more of a society of "spectators" than of "players." Streaming television has driven the last nail in our society's post-war concept of "hobbies." A significant portion of the ship model kit market were once "point of sale" impulse purchases. The finished models in the hobby shop windows sold a lot of ship model kits bought on a whim and never built. I don't know the specifics of the industry, but as radically reduced online "sale prices" become increasingly common and we find ourselves musing about how to generate interest in our hobby, the unmistakable smell of death is in the air. It is difficult to know whether kits are intentionally overpriced with the expectation of dumping inventory just before inventory tax time, or the retailers are simply cutting their losses and unloading product that isn't moving, but we must assume they are astute businessmen and price trends indicate the marketability of their products isn't what it used to be. The relatively new marketing phenomena of "limited edition" kits and "kit upgrade bundles" further suggests manufacturers are pressed to raise prices and move product.

What I suspect may come to replace ship model kits entirely will be the marketing of plans and building practicums, possibly together with optional raw building stock and fittings sold separately online by a limited number of vendors. This really is how ship modeling worked in the days before kits existed. Everybody will, to some extent, have to become a scratch modeler if they want to build a ship model. Because the market niche is so small, there may be just enough meat on the bone to make a reasonable profit publishing practicums, modeling plans, and instructional materials. Even though, writing them will always probably be a "labor of love." Those who "build only kits" will have to adapt. Darwin was right: "Organisms which fail to adapt to changing environments go extinct."
Very nice outline of the factors affecting the kit Industry.
 
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